外贸乘数

全球金融危机与贸易保护主义悖论&基于外贸乘数的视角

The Global Financial Crisis and the Paradox of Trade Protectionism & From the Perspective of the Foreign Trade Multiplier

结合当前全球经济大环境，运用加入外国收入变量后的外贸乘数分析扩展模型分析表明，中国今明两年的贸易收支顺差仍将减少。

With insights into the on-going economic globalization , this article , through analysis of the expanded model of foreign trade multiplier approach that takes into account the variable of foreign income , shows that in the coming two years the trade surplus in China will go on shrinking .

宏观经济调控必须利用乘数理论，包括投资乘数、政府购买支出乘数、转移支付乘数、税收乘数、货币乘数和外贸乘数等。

In the course of the macroeconomic adjusting controlling , we should make use of the multiplier theory , including the investment multiplier , the government purchasing-expenditure multiplier , the transfer payment multiplier , the tax multiplier , the money multiplier , the foreign trade multiplier and so on .