危机周期

过去30年来，一系列金融危机周期性地对世界造成冲击，我们目前面临的这场危机，可以看作是其最新一轮体现。

What confronts the world can be seen as the latest in a succession of financial crises that have struck periodically over the last 30 years .

文中探讨了这一模型的摄动问题与均衡发展速度、均衡发展比例及危机周期的关系，并得出了一些有实际经济背景的重要结论。

This paper discusses perturbations problem with relation to a speed of the balanced development , a proportion of the balanced development and a period of crisis , and obtains some important conclusions with practical economic background .

八十年代资本主义经济危机与周期的特点

On capitalist economic crises & periodicity in 1980 's

企业危机生命周期管理

Enterprise Crisis Management Based on the Crisis Life Cycle

旅游危机生命周期初探

Research on the Cycle of Tourism Crisis

危机生命周期一共有三个阶段，分别是危机的爆发期、处理期和反思期。

Crisis life cycle a total of three stages , namely , the outbreak of the crisis period , processing period and reflection period .

主要内容及结论如下：（1）结合危机生命周期理论和利他行为理论，提出一系列公众参与危机救助的行为差异假设。

Contents and conclusions of the research include : 1 . Based on theories of Crisis Life Cycle and Altruistic Behavior , a series of hypothesis of crisis aid behavioral differences are made .

表面看，是统治集团的腐败和穷兵黩武使南诏与大唐相继而亡，但其更深刻的历史原因，却是传统的儒家体制文化危机的周期性暴发。

On the surface , it is the ruling clique s corruption and craving for military ventures that effected the destruction , but the underlying reason is the cyclical outburst of the crisis of the traditional Confucian system of culture .

分析企业危机全生命周期管理评价内容，构建企业信息能力评价指标体系；

Analyze the evalution content of enterprise crisis management .

但是金融危机如同经济周期一样，很多情况下是无法避免的，在某种意义上，甚至已成为经济发展自身的一种存在方式。

However , the financial crises are unavoidable in many cases , just like the economy cycle . In a sense , the crises even become a part of the economy .

接下来，本文基于企业伦理的视角，根据危机的生命周期理论来划分案例，并以此为标准来分阶段详细分析案例。

Secondly , this paper is based on the perspective of the enterprise ethics , according to the life cycle theory of crisis to differentiate case , according to the standard grading detailed analysis of case .

研究发现，石油价格波动的最小周期为4周（1个月）左右，且大规模石油危机的爆发周期约为12年。这一结论也可由历次石油危机的时间得到验证。

Results show that , the minimum period of one oil price shock is about four weeks ( nearly one month ), which is the periodic basis for pre-warning knowledge system . In addition , the period of large-scale oil crisis is about 12 years .

第四章，重点讨论国际资本流动下的国家经济安全问题。主要讨论国际资本流动中的宏观经济风险，以及国际资本流动与泡沫经济、经济动荡、金融危机、经济周期和债务危机的关系。

I discuss national economic safety under conditions of international capital flow in Chapter IV. I chiefly discuss macro-economic risk under conditions of international capital flow , and the relation between international capital flow and bubble economy , economic turbulence , financial crisis , economic cycle and debt crisis .

2010年大学毕业生达到630万人，而金融危机引起的周期性失业和结构性失业问题日益突出，再加上未实现就业的往届毕业生，解决大学生就业难的问题迫在眉睫。

The number of University graduates reached 630 million in 2010.Because of cyclical unemployment and structural unemployment caused by the financial crisis , along with the previous graduates not in employment , have become increasingly prominent matter . Solving the difficult problem of graduate employment become the most urgent thing .

经济危机或经济的周期波动是市场经济的主要特征之一。

Economic crisis or periodic economic fluctuation is a main trait of market economy .

第三，基于互联网传播中的复合型危机框架，结合危机生命周期不同阶段的特征，构建了综合危机应对管理模式CCR。

Third , based on the compound frame in Internet communication and associated with the characteristics in different stages of crisis life cycle , a comprehensive crisis response management model CCR was built .

其次，阐述了危机管理理论&危机生命周期理论也就是芬克模型，对危机进行了分类；

Secondly , the theory of crisis management & Crisis Circle Theory ( the Fink Model ) is illustrated .

企业危机管理应根据危机生命周期的需要，在企业内部构建动态管理模式，以利在机制层面防范和控制危机的发生，从而更好地支持企业的经营战略。

Enterprise crisis supervision should fulfill the requirements of crisis life cycle and structure dynamic supervision mode so as to guard against and control the occurrence of crises at the mechanism level and a better job will be done to support the management strategy of the enterprise .

自1825年英国爆发第一次经济危机以来，经济危机和经济周期问题一直受到人们的关注。

The business cycles have been concerned by people since the first economic crisis happened in 1825 in England .

本文依据本底趋势线理论，对此次危机造成铁路客运量损失、危机生命周期及全国28个省市区差异进行了定量分析与估算。

Based on the theory of the background trend line , the loss of railway passenger traffic volumes , the lifecycle of the SARS crisis and the distribution of passenger traffic volume losses in 28 provinces are estimated .

与国际危机的阶段性相适应，国际危机管理周期包含预防、准备、反应和恢复四个阶段，每一阶段都需要有效的信息沟通。

Corresponding to the stages of international crises , an international crisis management cycle also includes four stages , i.e. , prevention , preparation , response and recovery . Each of stages requires effective communication .

通过探讨危机管理的概念以及应对危机管理的生命周期理论和全面危机管理机制，从理论与实践两方面提出了发达国家的危机管理机制与危机应对策略。

The paper firstly discuss the concept of crisis management and the life recycle policy and the whole crisis management mechanism . And then it analysis the crisis management mechanism and strategy from of two aspects of theory and practice .

结合旅游管理理论中的旅游危机动态管理三阶段模型以及旅游危机生命周期理论探讨了旅游危机管理中对于危机事件应对体系的建设及阐述了旅游危机应对具体战略对策。

With the tourism crisis management theory in the dynamic management of the " three stage " model of life-cycle theory and the tourism crisis , crisis management of the tourism crisis response system for the building and described specific strategies for the tourism crisis response measures .

逝于1996年的美国经济学家海曼·明斯基（HymanMinsky）认为债务危机是资本主义制度所固有的，且危机具有周期性，这种说法自96年来接受面越来越广。

Hyman Minsky , an American economist who has become more fashionable since his death in1996 , argued that these debt crises were both inherent in the capitalist system and cyclical .

本文在危机管理的理论基础之上，把旅游危机的生命周期也划分为隐患期，发生持续期和修复期三个阶段。

This article is based on the theory of crisis management , and divides the life cycle of tourism crisis into the incubation period , acute and chronic period and the repair period .

差异主要表现在危机所造成的旅游损失程度不同、旅游危机影响的生命周期不同、危机后旅游补偿性恢复的反弹力不同等方面。

The differences were manifested in the degree of tourism losses caused by the crises , the life-cycle influenced by tourism crises and the rebounding of compensatory recovery of post-crises .

危机管理不同于常态管理，有其自身的特点。依据危机周期的发展进程，危机管理机制主要包括预警机制、救治机制和恢复机制三个方面。

Different from the normal management , the administration on crisis , with its own characteristics , involves three mechanisms : early warning , treat and cure and recovering according to the process of the crisis cycle .

运用霍尔三维结构的思想，建立中央储备粮三维分析结构，能够更加全面地理清储备粮危机管理思路，实现运用储备粮对粮食危机潜伏期、暴发期和平息期等危机生命周期的有效应对。

The three-dimensional analytic structure of state grain reserves which is built by the Hall three-dimensional theory ( Arthur D. Hall ) helps the decision making to deal with the food supply crisis in the course of delitescence , breaking up period and ending period .