菲利浦斯曲线

人们社会预期发生调整或改变可以使菲利浦斯曲线变形。

The adjust and change of society expect may cause Phillips curve change .

菲利浦斯曲线失灵了吗？

Is Phillips Curve Unworkable ?

菲利浦斯曲线舍象了许多重要因素，不能说明当代资本主义经济中通货膨胀与失业的关系。

Phillips Curve neglects many important factors and it can not reveal the relation between inflation and unemployment of modern capitalist economy .

历史上关于就业、产出和通货膨胀的讨论可以追溯到萨伊、凯恩斯、菲利浦斯曲线以及弗里德曼的方法。

Chronological discussion on the employment , output and inflation relationship can be traced to Say , Keynesian , Phillips curve and Friedman approaches .

虽然凯恩斯模型预示经济中存在菲利浦斯曲线，但是菲利浦斯曲线来自经验数据而非模型，并反映了比模型更加丰富的内容。

Although Keynes model hints the existence of Phillips curve , the Phillips curve derives from experimental data rather than the model itself & the Phillips curve reflects much richer content .

宏观方面则体现为菲利浦斯曲线相关理论的变化，宏观经济衡量模式的重新制定以及经济增长理论的革新。

To the macro theory , the theory of Phlips curve has a change , and we need to rebuild a new model to measure the economy . The theory of growth need a innovation .

特别是，在采用多变量状态空间&卡尔曼滤波方法估计潜在产出和产出缺口时，我们同时也估计了菲利浦斯曲线，而且统计检验也证实了这一方法的合理性和优越性。

In particular , the Phillips curve is simultaneously estimated while using multivariate state-space methods with Kalman filter to estimate the output gap . The statistical tests also show the multivariate method is more efficient .