长期预测

结论GM（1，1）模型能够较好的用于疾病死亡率的近期预测，而中长期预测的效果不太理想。

Conclusion GM ( 1,1 ) model can be well used to the short term prediction of Cardiocerebrovascular disease , but it is not very well in mid term or long term prediction .

实例研究的结果说明，SP模型简便、实用性强，可在径流中长期预测中广泛应用。

The case study shows that SP model is convenient and effective , and that SP model can be applied to mid and long term prediction of many runoff processes .

加权Internet访问直径短期及长期预测行为分析

Analysis of Short - Term and Long - Term Forecast of Weighted Internet Traveling Diameter

中国大陆中强震中长期预测的WDM方法

WDM method for long-wd-term predication of middle and strong earthquake in the Chinese continent

持续增长模型及我国GNP长期预测

A Sustaining Growth Model and Long-term GNP Forecasting

论文中建立的主要中长期预测模型和方法有：（1）等维无偏GM（1,1）马尔科夫递补模型。

The middle and long term forecast models and methods adopted in the article are : ( 1 ) Medium and Long Term forecast based on grey-markov model .

中长期预测模型的GMDH两水平算法计算的实现

Study on Two-level Algorithm of the Model of Intermediate or Long-term Prediction and Computing

基于改进B-P算法的内蒙古粮食产量中长期预测

Middle and long term forecasting the grain gross output of Inner Mongolia with back-propagation algorithm

中长期预测模型的GMDH不同水平算法优势比较及实证分析

Comparing Multi leve Algorithm of the Model of Intermediate or Long term Prediction and Application

利用MATLAB编程实现长期预测模型方法，并对典型的Logistic映射，Henon系统和Mackey-Glass系统产生的三种混沌时间序列进行数值试验。

The algorithm is implemented in matlab . Three kinds of time chaotic time series produced Logistic mapping , Lorenz system and Mackey-Glass are tested .

另外针对风电场风速预测，应用时间序列分析方法建立了风速中长期预测的ARMA时间序列预测模型。

Are used to check their validity . In addition , a medium and long-term wind speed forecast model based on ARMA time series is presented .

本文引入灰色系统理论，利用有限的时间序列，按照GM（1,1）建模方法，建立起黑龙江省污水总量长期预测模型。

This paper inserts grey system , makes use of finite time series , follows GM ( 1,1 ) building method , builds the long term prediction model of total waste - water in Heilongjiang Province .

美国网站eharmony的沃尔多夫格雷格（gregwaldorf）对长期预测保持谨慎，但他预计，经济衰退可能有利于业务。

Greg Waldorf , of us site eHarmony , is cautious about making long-term predictions but he hopes the downturn may be good for business .

建立一种由初期指数增长向后期趋于线性增长转变的长期预测模型，并应用于我国GNP增长的长期预测，给出了新的预测结论。

In the paper a model being shifted from exponential growth at earlier stage to linear growth at later stage is founded and applied in the forecasting of our country 's CNP growth .

实证分析结果表明：EGARCH模型比较适合对我国股票市场波动性作长期预测，若假设收益序列服从t分布，由此改进的EGARCH-T模型会得到比正态分布下更好的拟合与预测效果。

The results show that EGARCH is the best model for forecasting long-term volatility . Furthermore , using EGARCH with the Student t-distribution gives better results than with a normal distribution .

研究表明：快速预测模型利用1个测试点对短期几天内人造板TVOC释放预测有效，但长期预测误差较大。

The rapid prediction model using one test point is effective on the release of TVOC from wood-based panels within a short term , for example , a few days , but prone to considerable errors over long-term releases .

结果表明：青藏铁路沿线的月降水量存在比较明显的9a左右周期变化，它有2个降雨偏多中心和3个降雨偏少中心，历经30a的全过程，因而具有长期预测意义。

The results show that there were a 9-year cycle of monthly averaged rainfall and two wetter centers , three drier centers during the 30 years period , so it may have long-range prediction significance .

且应用到汇率的长期预测时也有很好的适应性，进一步提高了精度，最后得出结论RAGA-BP在应用于汇率这种复杂的非线性系统的预测方面有很好的价值。

Further more , applying to long-term exchange rate forecast , this model has better adaptability and accuracy . In the end , we learn that RAGA-BP model has good value on forecasting of complicated and non-linear exchange rate system .

运用此模型对旅客周转量进行了长期预测，并对预测结果展开系统分析。

Passenger traffic turnover is simulated and the result is explained .

径流中长期预测模型研究

Study on Medium-and - long - term Hydrologic Prediction of Runoff

但是，中长期预测却更为乐观。

But the medium - to long-term forecast is more cheerful .

佳木斯市经济发展中长期预测

The Medium Long-term Forecasting of the Economic Development of Jiamusi City

上海市水情长期预测方法比较研究

Study on Methods of Long-range Hydrologic Forecast by Comparison in Shanghai

气温和降水序列的长期预测研究

Research on the long-term prediction of air temperature and precipitation

青岛沿岸风暴潮增减水的长期预测

Long-Term Prediction of Positive and Negative Storm Surge Elevation in Qingdao Area

最优化权值组合法用于大气质量中长期预测的研究

Study on optimal weighted combination method of air quality mid-long term prediction

苹果黑星病传播路线及长期预测模型

Dissemination Routes and Long Term Prediction Models of Apple Scab

六安市洪水发生年份灰色长期预测

On Grey Predictive Calculation in Flood Year of Lu ' an City

小麦赤霉病灰色灾变长期预测模型

Long period forecasting model for grey calamities of wheat scab

中国公路货物运输量的长期预测

A Long-Team Forecast of China 's , Roa Transportation Volume